Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.151002 5.592910 6.083799 6.675557 7.378012 8.196556 9.240231
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.682051 5.270462 5.970168 6.884069 8.080208 9.648086 11.969388
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.333877 5.021665 5.886856 7.099384 8.840233 11.419996 15.981809
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.144121 4.938641 5.995833 7.592232 10.140275 14.555967 24.781395
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.769674 4.568141 5.667513 7.408696 10.396872 16.230660 33.599716
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.590579 4.441075 5.663109 7.722722 11.633199 20.831995 67.330257
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.405087 4.283882 5.593084 7.924891 12.802045 26.917725 238.881594
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.163505 4.020848 5.326596 7.734897 13.110785 31.378144 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.934637 3.756903 5.029047 7.435798 13.080902 35.075566 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.886310 3.761474 5.169916 8.016869 15.685229 64.140645 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.920887 3.898558 5.559613 9.258912 21.839860 579.142092 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.852999 3.863292 5.638323 9.852038 27.009213 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.684229 3.664178 5.418947 9.744332 29.585737 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.539373 3.493686 5.234736 9.692678 33.047216 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.415382 3.348880 5.083954 9.703696 37.895519 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.342178 3.286434 5.093475 10.221602 52.316063 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.198095 3.086565 4.789975 9.643979 50.365857 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.125129 3.009349 4.740380 9.914551 67.618518 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.048551 2.919474 4.651945 10.029988 89.580932 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.946896 2.776656 4.430326 9.586826 88.827483 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.847140 2.632070 4.192936 9.034218 80.146165 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.824880 2.629608 4.275922 9.752345 186.242822 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.839311 2.697264 4.534058 11.427009 NaN NaN NaN